Well, it looks like I made the mistake, yesterday, of thinking that a majority of Spaniards would think similarly to a majority of Americans. In a victory that was unexpected before the terrorist attacks, the Socialists have reclaimed Spain. I can't help but feel that this is the first lost battle in the War on Terror, which will, by its nature, be fought most profoundly in other spheres than the battlefield.
The plain truth is that many in Europe are either on the other side or just don't understand what's going on. This is evidence of the latter:
Some voters were angry at outgoing Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar, accusing him of making Spain a target for Islamic extremists because of his support for the Iraq war, despite the opposition of most Spaniards.
Whether the people who hold them will admit it, such opinions are tacit admissions that Iraq was, indeed, a front in the War on Terror, a matter that is further confirmed by additional evidence that the attacks were related to al Qaeda. While I do see the cowardly affront in Spain and the war in Iraq as related, however, I don't think the attack last week is properly seen as a response and a consequence of Spain's involvement in that war, per se:
Authorities have been tracking Islamic extremist activity in Spain since the mid-1990s and say it was an important staging ground, along with Germany, for the Sept. 11 attacks.
It's worth saying again: those who voted against the Popular Party are either on the other side or just don't get it. Spain can't hide behind appeasement; it's a beachhead into Europe, formerly Muslim land. And the economic damage that the socialists are sure to do will weaken its defenses almost as much as its probable backpedaling in the War.
Worse, though. The Spanish majority has now made itself proof that terrorism can work in Europe. It's become a widely held opinion that September 11 was a huge mistake on bin Laden's part. March 11 is now a counter-mark. Americans will strike back, but Europeans might not.
All of this throws some variables into the air. It may be that al Qaeda will decide that terrorism on our shores is performed at a cost, while terrorism across the Atlantic pays a dividend. (Italy doesn't have a major upcoming election, does it?) On the other hand, perhaps they'll test the Madrid strategy's effect on our upcoming election. Not doing so would be wiser, but one can't count on the wisdom of these scumbags.
If they do attack us again, we who support the War on Terror will have to remind our fellow Americans loudly, clearly, and often that even the foolish claim that the war in Iraq sparked response doesn't apply to us.
They struck first.
Posted by Justin Katz at March 14, 2004 5:57 PMAll is not lost just yet. I think the terrorists are overlooking an important unintended consequence. A week ago, it would have been acceptable for a Socialist government in Spain to take an attitude of pacificist appeasement towards international terror. That is not an acceptable position now. The socialists will have to take strong action at home, and, in foreign policy, do something to show that they are not completely cowed.
Posted by: Andrew at March 14, 2004 7:03 PMAndrew,
I hope you're right, although I fear that there are outer limits to the requirement that might be perverted to ill effect. I don't know much about this particular socialist party, but I find it very easy to imagine the Spanish government reining in foreign policy and concentrating its efforts (and rhetoric) on homeland security, which (especially for a socialist government) it is easy to imagine as taking the form of suppression of civil liberties.
If it's true that the message taken from the voters is that cooperation with the United States in Iraq invited the terrorist attack, then it would seem that an internal crackdown coupled with a promise not to reach beyond the borders would be the suggested policy. It's wrongheaded, of course, but so was voting in the socialists in the first place.
Posted by: Justin Katz at March 14, 2004 11:14 PMDamn. Looks like you are right and I am wrong. CNN is reporting that the new Spanish PM is going the route of unconditional surrender. He says he plans to pull Spain's 1,300 troops out of Iraq.
Posted by: Andrew at March 15, 2004 4:25 AMBefore I left your site, wanted to chime in here.
The fact that a socialist party would win an election after the country was attacked followed by the pulling out of its troops in Iraq is very distressing (an understatement). You could almost hear the terrorists celebrate.
This should be a wake-up call to the citizens here. I hope and pray it will be.
Posted by: Mark Miller at March 15, 2004 12:22 PM
| Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 29 | 30 | 31 |